Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Utility Sues State of New York over CO2
Sunday, March 29, 2009
Renewables in Outer Continental Shelf
Renewable energy production is a hot topic, with land-based solar installations, windfarms, bio-mass systems, and geothermal systems receiving attention and investment capital. All of the above renewables have something to recommend them, primarily the fact that the energy source is free. The drawbacks are numerous, including that they are intermittent and therefore unreliable, they are inadequate even when fully exploited (geothermal, bio-mass), too costly for the amount of energy produced, and too dispersed (wind, solar).
Yet, according to the U.S. Department of Interior, Mineral Mining Service, in their January 2009 Draft Proposed Outer Continental Shelf Oil and Gas Leasing Program 2010 – 2015, there is plenty of power in the waves and wind offshore. MMS is offering leases in the Outer Continental Shelf for renewable energy systems, primarily wave and wind, but also ocean current systems off the southeast tip of Florida. The MMS stated:
“Wind Energy Resources: The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) estimates that more than 900,000 megawatts (GW), close to the total current installed U.S. electrical capacity, of potential wind energy exists off the coasts of the United States, often near major population centers, where energy costs are high and land-based wind development opportunities are limited. Slightly more than half of the country’s identified offshore wind potential is located off the New England and Mid-Atlantic Coasts, where water depths generally deepen gradually with distance from the shore. Development of offshore wind energy technologies has the potential to provide up to 70,000 MW of domestic generating capacity to the nation’s electric grid by 2025.
Wave Energy Resources: The total annual average wave energy off the U.S. coastlines, calculated at a water depth of 60 meters, has been estimated at 2,100 Terawatt-hours (TWh). Capturing the energy of ocean waves in offshore locations has been demonstrated as technically feasible, and basic research to develop improved designs of wave energy conversion devices is being conducted in regions such as near the Oregon coast, which is a high wave energy resource. Compared with other forms of offshore renewable energy, such as solar photovoltaic (PV), wind, or ocean current, wave energy is continuous but highly variable, although wave levels at a given location can be confidently predicted several days in advance.” -- MMS Draft Proposed Program, January 20, 2009, pg. 13.
The 2,100 TWh for wave power quoted above is approximately 7 times the total electrical power consumed in California in 2007, or roughly 70 percent of all the electrical power consumed in the U.S. for the year. Offshore wind power can easily make up the other 30 percent.
Installing renewables in the OCS will profoundly change the American economy, and the world. One such change is that nuclear power plants can be forever shut down in the U.S., and their toxic wastes disposed of once and for all time. Another is that imported oil can be reduced to zero, as the vehicle fleet is converted to electric power plus petroleum-electric plug-in hybrids. Yet another is that imported LNG can be reduced to zero, for the same reasons as oil. When the U.S. no longer imports oil from the Middle East, major foreign policy issues will be re-examined. A huge source of revenue to the Middle East will be gone forever. The balance of trade will be affected, as the huge sums currently spent on importing hydrocarbons will be available for domestic use.
Roger E. Sowell, Esq.
Mr. Sowell may be reached at his legal website.
Saturday, March 28, 2009
Busted Earth Hour
Update 4/4/09 The graph for today's power demand during the day is shown at the left, with the original graph from Earth Hour Saturday, March 28, shown on the right. These are taken directly from www.caiso.com, so the y-axis scaling is different. However, the tail of each curve (to the right of each graph) shows the same shape, a rise around 20:00 hours (8 p.m.), and then a gentle decrease through the 9, 10, and 11 p.m. hours. Thus, there was no difference in California energy usage during Earth Hour and a normal Saturday night. Earth Hour was a bust.
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
AB 32 and Emissions Offsets for Power Generation
Saturday, March 14, 2009
AB 32 and Low Carbon Fuel Standard
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Legal Challenges to Global Warming Legislation
Monday, March 9, 2009
AB 32 Hits Poor Hardest
AB 32 will have a serious and disproportional impact on low-income and fixed-income citizens. Those who advocate for Environmental Justice (EJ) have some valid points in their comments to the Air Resources Board, but have overlooked a few critical issues.
The EJ commenters on the Scoping Plan did not favor cap-and-trade, because that system allows a local emitter to continue placing regulated compounds into the environment, while the reductions occur elsewhere. This does little good to the local residents who suffer the health consequences, such as breathing difficulties, or premature deaths. As the discussions to date have shown, California will have a cap-and-trade program for greenhouse gases. The poor, who live rather close to many industrial sites, will continue to be exposed to higher levels of various regulated substances.
Where additional disproportionate impacts will occur is with higher fuel prices and higher electricity prices, and the commensurate higher prices of all goods and services. These issues have received little discussion. (but see this recent article).
AB 32’s Scoping Plan states that prices for new cars will increase $300 per vehicle, but the increased gas mileage will more than offset the increased car price plus the increased cost of fuel. The poor generally do not purchase new cars, so this will not help them.
AB 32 requires bio-fuels or hydrogen or electric cars to reduce carbon emissions from transportation. The bio-fuels will increase the price of gasoline. Bio-fuels in gasoline also decrease the miles per gallon achieved by a car. AB 32's Scoping Plan states that hybrid vehicles will help to reduce the overall gasoline and diesel use, but again, this does not help the poor who seldom can afford a new car, especially not a high-priced hybrid. Thus, the poor will be paying the higher price of gasoline. The poor generally purchase used cars, so they must wait until the high mpg or hybrid vehicles are available as a used car and at a price they can afford. That may be a wait of several years. All that time, they are paying higher prices for gasoline, and being hit hardest once again.
Similarly for diesel trucks, the fuel price will increase with bio-fuel addition, yet the delivery truck fleet will not convert overnight to hybrid trucks. The additional cost of delivering goods will be passed on as higher prices for goods on the shelves. The poor will have no choice but to pay the higher prices. All consumers will pay higher prices, but the poor will be hit hardest.
Electric power prices will also increase as the RPS, Renewable Portfolio Standard, is implemented. Increasing the renewable portion of power production from the current 12 percent to 20 percent by 2012, and by 33 percent by 2020, will increase the cost of electric power. Furthermore, the imported power from coal-fired plants must be phased out, and likely will be replaced with renewable power. The Scoping Plan uses 12 percent as the power price increase, yet it will likely be much more. The high cost of electricity will impact the poor, especially those who rent rather than own their homes, or live in rented apartments. Renters have little choice in replacing appliances, which is what AB 32 relies on to counter the increased cost of electricity.
Similarly for businesses who rent office or manufacturing space, the increased cost of electricity will be passed on to customers as higher prices for goods and services. It may be possible for business who lease commercial space to persuade building owners to install more efficient heating and air conditioning, and lighting, but that will likely increase the lease payment. The business owner would pass along the higher costs. Again, the poor will be hit the hardest by having no choice but to pay the higher price.
Thanks to AB 32, the poor, who live with no excess income, will find that increases in prices of energy, food, necessities, and medical products will hit hard. Where is the Environmental Justice in that?
Roger E. Sowell, Esq.
Contact Mr. Sowell at his website.