Showing posts with label MIT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MIT. Show all posts

Monday, June 2, 2014

Grid-Scale Energy Storage in Submerged Spheres

Subtitle: Storing the Wind-Energy Makes It Reliable

First, a quote (or paraphrase) from Confucius: “I show a dull man one corner of a room, and he sits in the corner grinning.  I show a wise man one corner of a room, and he shows me the other corners, plus the entire house.”    There are quite a number of people grinning in the corner, based on some of the comments made at WUWT, which started this entire post.

Background

Some low-information commenters on Anthony Watts excellent blog made light (jeered, even) at my suggestion that the recently-announced MIT storage spheres will solve the intermittency problem of wind-energy.   A few, however, asked polite and intelligent questions.  This is my response to those polite folks. 

Pumped Storage Hydroelectric Basics

Now, as to the basics of how PSH (pumped storage hydroelectric) works, and then how the MIT spheres work.   There are numerous PSH sites in the US (more than 22,000 MW at last count by EIA – Energy Information Agency).   One of the largest sites is on the eastern shore of Lake Michigan, the Ludington Plant.   Like all PSH plants, there is an upper reservoir and a lower reservoir.  The lower reservoir is Lake Michigan.  The upper reservoir is man-made, about 360 feet above the lake, and on a sandy cliff-like edge of the lake.  At night, six turbine/pumps run in pump mode by drawing power from the grid to pump water from Lake Michigan into the upper lake.   The next day, the flow is reversed so that water flows from the upper lake through the turbine/pumps into Lake Michigan, this time generating power as needed.    The upper reservoir and land occupy 1,000 acres.  The generators produce 1,872 MW of power at maximum flow.  The penstocks (six of them) or pipes, are 1,300 feet long and 28 feet diameter.  These connect the upper and lower reservoirs.  The plant was built between 1969 and 1973.  As PSH plants go, it is large but has a low elevation change. 

In contrast, the Castaic PSH in Southern California, near Los Angeles, has an elevation change of 1,060 feet and produces 1,247 MW for up to 10 hours in generating mode.   Castaic PSH also draws power from the grid at night to pump water uphill from Castaic Lake into Pyramid Lake, the upper reservoir.  The tunnel connecting the two lakes is 7.2 miles long and is 30 feet in diameter.   Castaic PSH has six pump/turbines and one standard turbine generator.   Because the elevation difference is greater, Castaic has much lower water flow than does Ludington.

These two examples show a low-head and a high-head PSH plant (Ludington is low-head, and Castaic is high-head).  In this context, head is the elevation difference in feet between the upper and lower reservoirs.

MIT Storage Spheres

The MIT spheres on the ocean floor will do exactly the same function: draw power from the grid at night to pump water out of the spheres.  The spheres are not closed as one commenter assumes.  Instead, they are vented by a pipe to the atmosphere.  The sphere acts exactly like the lower reservoir.  It is at atmospheric pressure at all times.   A turbine/pump connected to a motor/generator draws power at night (or whenever the wind blows) and runs in pumping mode to send water out of the sphere into the surrounding ocean.  Air flows from the atmosphere through the vent pipe into the sphere.  The ocean, at that depth, has considerable pressure.  One can estimate the water pressure by dividing the water depth by two.  Thus, 1,000 feet of water will exert approximately 500 pounds of pressure.   (Engineers will know that the exact relationship is 32.2 divided by 14.696, but for estimating purposes, two will suffice.) 

During the day, when peak power is required, seawater is allowed to flow by natural pressure from the ocean through the turbine/pump into the sphere, turning the generator and producing power to the grid.  Water flowing in forces air out of the sphere through the vent line into the atmosphere.   With proper design, about 80 MW will be produced into the grid for each 100 MW consumed from the grid.

As to the servicing and maintenance issues someone asked about, this is trivial.  Proper design will have the entire turbine/pump and generator/motor equipment in the atmospheric pressure zone above the sphere.  Simply put, that building will also be vented to the atmosphere.  Likely, an elevator will convey workers and materials to the submerged sphere, much like in a mine shaft on land.   There is no need to contemplate high-pressure underwater activities.   Purists will say, at this point, yes but what about screens to keep fish and other marine life out of the turbines?   Those screens or similar devices may require periodic cleaning, but that can be done remotely with ROVs.  (remote operated vehicles, think unmanned submarines). 

As to the MIT paper indicating 6 hours of storage, and the naysayers objecting that this is far too little.  It should be pointed out that Castaic PSH has only 10 hours of generating capacity, and about 11 hours for Ludington.   However, these spheres would be storing offshore wind-energy and could require operation for several days.  There are three salient points about PSH generating time: one need only change the generating time by 1) increasing the diameter, 2) adding more spheres, or 3) increasing the head.  Put simply, if the sphere volume is the same and only one sphere is used, one can obtain double the generating time by setting the sphere twice as deep into the water – this increases the head.  Similarly, if one maintains the head constant, one can obtain 8 times the generating time by doubling the sphere’s radius.  Or, one could maintain the head constant and add more spheres of constant radius to obtain the increased generating time.  Note that it is not required to have a turbine/pump with motor/generator on each sphere.   The spheres can be connected one to another by suitable high-pressure pipes.  Very likely, the most economic choice for increased generating time is simply to increase the spheres’ size.   Spheres have a nice property for that, as materials required go up with the square of the radius, but volume increases with the cube of the radius.   One may also excavate out a hollow in the ocean floor and set the larger sphere in place, if water depth is an issue with a larger sphere. 

Now, as to the testing and prototyping as asked about: yes, the MIT publications state the system has been built, has been tested, and measurements taken on an actual sphere. 

Economics 

The economics are much criticized in the comments on WUWT.  It was overlooked, apparently, by the naysayers that MIT stated the cost per sphere will decrease as more are deployed.  This is the economy of mass production.  Henry Ford recognized this with automobiles; it still applies today.  Another cost-reduction will occur as spheres are made larger, this is the economy of scale for unit production.  Yet another cost reduction will occur as spheres are installed along trunk power lines laid on the ocean floor.  It will not be necessary to build the electrical infrastructure again for each sphere. 

Another word about economics: with a suitable number of spheres in place, there will be no need for land-based fossil-fuel power plants to be built in excessive numbers.  Instead of the 1,000 GW currently installed, the US could have only 600 GW installed, and let the spheres do the peak load work.   The savings from not installing 400 GW of on-shore fossil-fuel power is indeed large.  That will offset much of the cost of installing the spheres. 

As to the land-locked cities, spheres can be installed in the larger Great Lakes, with a power grid designed to send power from wind-farms in the Great Plains to those storage systems, then back out the next day.   Even shallow Lake Erie can have storage spheres, they would simply be buried in a suitable hole in the lake bottom.   

Conclusion


This wraps up the MIT sphere grid-scale storage technology.  It works.  It has zero energy cost.  It has very low environmental impact.  It can be constructed now, without waiting for offshore wind-turbines.  It reduces the cost of on-shore generating plants – fewer plants will be required.  Power from the spheres is almost instantaneous and can be at full power in less than 30 minutes.  It quite easily follows the load.  Economy of scale and mass production will decrease the costs.  There is a huge coastline with shallow continental shelf along most of the Eastern seaboard and Gulf of Mexico, so placing numerous spheres is quite possible.   It makes intermittent wind energy very reliable, available on demand.

Roger E. Sowell, Esq.
Marina del Rey, California  

Sunday, May 25, 2014

Wind vs Coal - Coal Cannot Go Ten Rounds

Subtitle: Coal Fizzles Out in Fifty Years - Wind Blows Forever 
It appears I struck deep at the heart of the anti-wind crowd [on JoNova's excellent blog]. It’s a pleasure to cross swords (or words). I’ll ignore the infantile insults about lawyers – I’m a chemical engineer who also practices law.
Background: on an open thread at JoNova's blog, somebody started a rant on anti-wind and praising baseload coal power.  Not surprising, actually, given the huge coal reserves in Australia (JoNova is in Australia).  Several statements that were mis-direction were made, and I took keyboard in hand to offer a different perspective.  Here is what I wrote for my second comment.  The first is also on display at JoNova's site.   The gist of their argument (several people "down-thumbed my comment!) is that no coal-fired power plant has ever been replaced by a wind-farm.  True, I agree.  But, that is totally irrelevant.   That's like saying no 5-year old who plays Tee-ball in Little League has ever hit a home run in Major League Baseball.  True, but then give him a few years to grow up, get stronger, and more experience.   See what happens then.   Here is the comment:
Wind energy is not designed (yet) to replace any coal-fired plants. I suspect you would not expect a diesel-powered dump truck to compete and win at a Formula One race. The truck is not designed to compete in that arena. Why, then, are wind-energy projects expected to replace a coal-fired plant? The current wind-energy systems do exactly what they are designed to do: they produce power when the wind blows, as efficiently and as economically as their design and location allow. As for requiring fossil-fueled backup, even hydroelectric plants require backup for periods of drought. Should all the dams be torn down and the hydroelectric plants shut down?
The fact is that wind energy is in the teen-ager portion of the life development curve, with unit costs steadily declining as the industry matures, and experience is gained with larger turbines. Capacity Factors are rather good, as I noted above, for recent and future projects.
Costs actually are steadily declining, as Warren Buffett observed when he placed his recent order for $1 billion (US) for wind turbines in Iowa.
Coal may be great (for now), but notice what China’s rapid increase in coal consumption has done to the world reserves. The previous 200-year reserve lifetime has decreased to 90 to 100 years. When China doubles their coal-fired generating capacity, as they intend to, and India also ramps up their consumption, the coal reserves world-wide will decrease to perhaps 40 to 50 years. Sobering, isn’t it? Sure, Australia has much of the remaining reserves, and good on ya for that. Enjoy the sales — for 50 years. After that, what will Australia do for power? Harness kangaroos and make them jump against rubber bands? PETA might have a problem with that.
It would be far, far better to slide off the coal-fired bandwagon and begin cheering for the infinitely renewable side. Those of you who are under 30 years of age will live to see the end of coal. It will not be pretty.
Wind’s problems are already solved. Larger turbines, better sites with stronger and more steady wind, and pumped storage using underwater hollow spheres (the MIT solution) are no pie-in-the-sky, these are realities.
My recent article gives a view of future energy systems, including the integrated wind with storage system:

Roger E. Sowell, Esq. 
Marina del Rey, California


Sunday, April 6, 2014

Offshore Windturbines in Texas

Offshore wind technology gets a boost in Texas, as Governor Rick Perry awarded funds for the Texas Emerging Technology Fund at the Wind Energy Center at Texas A&M University.  The fund will lead to 18 MW of offshore windturbines.  see link  This is bad news for nuclear power, which cannot compete against wind energy.  
Windturbine using tension-leg anchoring system
credit: NREL


The windturbines will likely be place offshore from Corpus Christi, which has good and steady wind.  

From the article: 
"Texas A&M will collaborate with Texas Tech University, the University of Texas at Austin, Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi and the University of Texas at Brownsville to develop new turbine and platform technology for offshore use."

The Gulf of Mexico, especially that part just offshore from Texas, has many hundreds of oil and gas platforms.  These structures make excellent bases for wind turbines, and reduce the cost of offshore wind installations.   The platforms could also serve as an anchoring point for seabed energy storage systems, such as that described recently by researchers at MIT. see link.  

The energy storage would be via submerged hollow spheres made of concrete, which are vented to the atmosphere.  At night and other periods of low power demand, the energy from offshore windturbines pump seawater out of the spheres.  During peak demand, or when the wind speed is too low to produce power, seawater flows into the spheres via conventional hydroelectric turbines connected to generators.   The hydroelectric mode could also be employed when storms occur, and the windturbines must be stopped for their own protection. 

NREL research published in 2010 estimated that US offshore wind can produce 4,000 GW of energy. see link  If only 10 percent of that were to be installed, that would be the equivalent of 400 full-size nuclear power plants.  The US currently has 100 nuclear power plants.  Also, if the offshore wind resource produces only 30 percent of the installed capacity on an annual basis, the amount of wind energy would be the 120 GW, or roughly 20 percent of the entire electric power consumed in the US.  With seabed energy storage as described above, this power would be reliable, dispatchable, and load-following when required.   The numbers could easily be doubled, or tripled.   With quadrupled values, that is, 40 percent of the offshore potential installed, that wind resource would supply 80 percent of the US's power needs.  Onshore wind supplying 10 percent, and hydropower supplying 10 percent would make the US completely renewable in electric power.  

Criticism

Some will doubt the ability of the windturbines to reliably and affordably produce electric power.  However, the combination of existing offshore platforms and wind turbines greatly reduces the installation cost.  The use of submerged spheres for storage also greatly increases the price the utilities would pay for the power.  

Conclusion

This is the type of future energy research that must be applauded.  As we say in Texas, way to fire, Governor!  Way to fire...

Roger E. Sowell, Esq.
Marina del Rey, California






Thursday, March 20, 2014

The Truth About Nuclear Power - Part Three

Subtitle: Nuclear power plants cost far too much to construct.  

The instant cost plus inflation, escalation, and interest on loans adds up to more than $10,000 per kW. 
Vogtle Nuclear Plant and Construction Site
photo - Wiki Commons by Charles C. Watson Jr.

One reason that nuclear power plants are uneconomic is they cost far too much to construct for the amount of power that they produce.  If one were to build a new nuclear power plant in the USA today, the final cost would be more than $10,000 per kW.   Several references support this assertion, Severance (2009), MIT (2003), and California EnergyCommission (2010).  All of these three referenced sources use $4,000 per kW as the overnight cost.

Overnight cost is the cost to construct if the plant could be built all at one time, or “over night”.  Of course, a nuclear power plant cannot be built overnight, as they require years to construct.  The added years increase the cost by escalation of materials and labor, and by interest on construction loans.   

Severance calculates the escalation for materials and labor to be $3,400 per kW, and for interest on construction loans to be an additional $3,100 per kW (figures rounded).   The total then is $4,000 plus $3,400 plus $3,100 equals $10,500 per kW.  A new, twin-reactor plant that produces 2,000 MW net electricity would then cost $21 billion to construct.   However, as indicated in Part Two of this series, Severance and the others did not include funds to make the plant operate safely if a large commercial aircraft crashes into the plant.  Not only the reactor, but the spent fuel storage area and the cooling water system must remain operable, per new NRC regulations.  This brings the cost to construct to approximately $12,000 per kW. 

How does this estimate compare to recent experience in the US?  There are two reactors under construction in Georgia, at the Vogtle plant.  Two more reactors were cancelled in Texas due to the excessive cost estimate at the South Texas Nuclear Project, STNP.   The STNP expansion project would add two reactors to the existing two, and was cancelled after a cost estimate of $17 billion was conceded by the reactor vendors to be too low.  As a result, we will never know how much that plant would cost to construct. 

The Vogtle plant is advertised as costing “only” $14.3 billion for twin reactors at 1100 MW each using the Westinghouse AP-1000 design.  However, cost overruns already incurred have increased the cost to $15.5 billion.  It is notable that Georgia changed the state law to allow the utility to bill customers in advance for construction costs.  This was an attempt to not pay finance charges on the construction loans.  In essence, rate-payers pay more money for electricity they are already using, and the utility company spends that cash for the nuclear construction.  Without this creative financing, the Vogtle plant would be right in line with Severance’s number, $20 billion more or less.   

The Vogtle plant is also plagued by delays in the construction, which would add to the cost if traditional financing were used.   At present (1Q 2014), the reactors are two years behind schedule, with four years to go for the first reactor to start up.  Many problems can arise in the next four years, which will likely add to the cost and delays.  As Severance shows, each year of delay adds approximately $1.2 to $1.6 billion in interest costs to the final cost for a twin-reactor plant.    An interesting account of the Vogtle plant’s progress can be found at 

http://www.taxpayer.net/library/article/doe-loan-guarantee-program-vogtle-reactors-34

[Update 6/24/2014: Vogtle facing more delays and cost increases  see link  -- end update]

In Finland, a single-reactor Areva nuclear plant is experiencing similar cost overruns and schedule delays. 

[Update 7/16/2014:  Finland's Areva EPL reactor plant is 7 years behind schedule and Billions of Euros over budget.  Per the article linked below:


“ "Areva was ready to do anything to win the Olkiluoto deal, including downplaying project management deficiencies. They had also previously delivered and commissioned nuclear reactors but they had never undertaken an entire project end-to-end, since the main French contractor had always been the EDF Group (Électricité de France), explained Les Échos editor in chief Pascal Pogam in an interview with Yle’s A-Studio current affairs program.
Based on accounts by parties such as the Olkiluoto owner-operator, the Finnish power consortium Teollisuuden Voima or TVO, Areva is said to have lied about the possibility of constructing a nuclear reactor within the agreed schedule."   see link  -- end update ]
Criticism

It is asserted that other countries can and do build nuclear power plants for approximately $2000 per kW.  As an example, China claims to build AP-1000 reactors at $2,000 per kW, according to world-nuclear.org.   One must pause at that; perhaps the lower labor rate in China is the reason, perhaps lower escalation for materials, and perhaps favorable (read: zero) cost for interest on construction.   However, the same website (world-nuclear.org) states that France’s current program has reactors that cost the US-equivalent of $5,000 per kW for overnight costs.  (Euro 3,700 per kW)

Conclusion

Truth Number 3:  Nuclear power plants cost far too much to construct, more than $10,000 per kW


Overview of The Truth About Nuclear Power series:

The series on Truth About Nuclear Power has several main themes:
1         
          Nuclear power operating costs are too high, cannot compete
2         
         Nuclear power costs too much to construct, require government assistance in loan guarantees or bill current ratepayers for construction funds (Georgia).
3         
         Nuclear power is unsafe to operate, near-misses occur frequently, disasters happen too; they must run at steady, high output to reduce upsets; this increases revenue to spread out the very high fixed costs; older reactors are more uneconomic and less safe (San Onofre leaks in new heat exchanger is a prime example)
4         
         Nuclear power is unsafe long-term for spent fuel storage
5         
         Nuclear power consumes far too much precious water
6         
         New designs to overcome these failures are unlikely to work, or to be economic if they can be made to work
a.       Thorium Reactors have serious developmental issues
b.      Modularized, smaller PWR (pressurized water reactor) reactors lose economy of scale advantages
c.       High temperature gas-turbine style reactors are far from developed
d.      Fusion at high temperature e.g. in magnetic bottle, is a pipe dream

7         
         Nuclear death spiral on the demand for power is real and present, customers have a variety of ways to self-generate (distributed generation), and alternatives become attractive as power prices increase.  Nuclear power will increase power prices, the greater the percent nuclear, the more alternatives become attractive. 

      Part One  --  Nuclear Power Plants Cannot Compete.
Part Two  --  Preposterous Power Pricing in Nuclear Proponents Prevail
Part Three -- this article
Part Four  --  Nuclear Plants Use Far More Fresh Water
Part Five --   Cannot Simply Turn Off a Nuclear Power Plant


      Roger E. Sowell, Esq.
      Marina del Rey, California